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Public
cases are used by the media, organizations, classes, groups, etc.
·
Media.
If you are in the media, you can use FactLogic to involve your audience at a
level never before available. It puts them in the jury box. FactLogic helps
you keep your audience involved and loyal – and that means higher ratings.
·
Organizations, Classes, and Groups.
Use FactLogic to see how your group evaluates the case (e.g., as a mock
jury).
For
the purpose of investigation, a case consists of one or more independent
facts, one or more assertions, and the standard of proof called probable
cause. (Two facts are independent if knowing that one fact exists does not
change your judgment of the other fact.) An assertion is a statement to be
proved - such as an allegation, charge, cause of action, hypothesis, etc.
Independent facts are judged to evaluate assertions. Assertions are
evaluated as the probability it is true. FactLogic provides the logical
evaluation of an assertion. Compare the probability an assertion is true to
probable cause.
You
can easily create your case and evaluate it.
·
Create
Your Case.
Enter some case information, one or more assertions, and the independent
facts.
·
Evaluate
Your Case.
You, and those aware that the case is posted on the Web, can immediately
evaluate your case. Evaluators can be collocated or dispersed. Factlogic
combines multiple evaluations and provides the statistical conclusions.
Compare the probability an assertion is true to probable cause.
1. Evaluation
Since the public method involves multiple evaluators,
conclusions are especially trustworthy and accurate. Evaluators can be
collocated or dispersed.
·
Obtain
Multiple Evaluators.
The more evaluators, the more precise will be the estimate. Since this is a
public case, you can reach evaluators in a number of ways such as the media,
announcement, advertisement, flyer, e-mail, etc. You have chosen the
population of evaluators. They are selected randomly from the population
since they chose to respond.
·
Obtain
Independent Evaluations. Evaluators should judge the facts independently (i.e., without
communication). Communication introduces bias, but ift is not an issue if
evaluators are dispersed.
2. Analysis
Statistical analysis is appropriate for investigations
because investigators need to know how accurately they have estimated the
probability an assertion is true, and they sometimes need to compare the
probabilities that multiple assertions are true. FactLogic computes the
average probability the assertion is true (from the participating
evaluators), and it computes an interval, that is centered on the average,
that you can be 95% confident contains the average probability the assertion
is true (from the population). |
