|
If you
use FactLogic to justify a change of venue, you can know exactly which facts
could cause injustice in the current venue and the degree to which it would
exist – if any. Knowledge obtained from using FactLogic will
also help with subsequent jury selection.
To
demonstrate possible injustice within a venue, do the following:
-
Select The Alternate Venue.
-
Create The Case. Create your case by entering some case information,
the key facts, and one or more assertions to be proved by the facts.
-
Copy The Case. Copy the case so you won’t mingle evaluations from
the two venues. Simply click, "Copy Case."
-
Select Evaluators. Randomly draw a number of evaluators from
the venire in each venue, and assign them to the appropriate copy of the case. The
more evaluators, the better; the number of evaluators from the two
venues needn't be equal.
-
Select Measures of Injustice.
Each evaluator will judge the probabilities for each fact. From these
probabilities, FactLogic will
determine the probably that each assertion is true, determine the margin
for each assertion (defined
below), and predict the verdict. There are four measures of injustice -
some more appropriate than others. Select the appropriate measure of injustice.
-
Analyze Results. The statistics computed by FactLogic
may clearly demonstrate that injustice could result in the current
venue. If injustice is not clearly demonstrated, you can conduct a test
of significance on any measure of injustice. Basically, the test of
significance would
determine whether the selected measure from the two venues are significantly
different.
1.
Create and Copy The Case
Create your case:
Include, at least, the assertion of most interest to the change of venue
request, and include the key facts for this or other assertions.
Make a copy of
your case for each venue so that evaluations aren't mingled (i.e., simply click,
Copy Case).
2.
Select Evaluators
Select
two groups of evaluators, one in the current venue and one in the proposed
venue. Evaluators should be drawn randomly from the venire in each venue. Local
records or market research companies can provide
evaluators¹:
Evaluator
Information. If possible, obtain demographic characteristics and life
experience information from the two groups of evaluators. This information will help with subsequent jury selection: Evaluators who have certain
characteristics or experiences might judge key facts correspondingly, and you need to know
this before voir dire.
Number of
Evaluators.
The two groups of evaluators needn't be the same size, but larger is
better. The size of the groupswill be dictated
by either
3,
Select Measures of Injustice
FactLogic
provides the
following four measures. Any of them could be considered measures of injustice:
Measure Provided
Directly by Evaluators:
Measures Determined by FactLogic
(from values provided by evaluators): Since all facts are not known at
this time, the following measures should be judged accordingly.
-
Assertion.
Probability the assertion is true.
-
Margin for An Assertion.
Difference between the probability the assertion is true and the
standard of proof (i.e., preponderance of the evidence). This difference is a more accurate measure of
injustice than is the probability an assertion is true (by itself) because jurors decide
on this difference. This difference will be called the margin
in the following text.
-
Predicted
Verdict for An Assertion.
Select any of
these measures.
4.
Analyze Results
Any of the measures of injustice listed in Section 3 can be analyzed. The
margin (i.e., the difference between the probability the assertion is true and the standard of proof)
and the predicted verdict are unusually compelling.
To justify a
change of venue, compare the measure of injustice from the current venue to
the measure of injustice
from the proposed venue. If the difference between them is significant, the justification for a change of
venue is scientifically demonstrated. However, if the probabilities the
assertions are true are small, the request for a change of
venue might not be justified because injustice would probably
be insignificant.
Convex
Corporation can provide the statistical tests of significance for any
measures you choose (except the predicted verdict).
|