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FactLogic can
determine your probability of winning at any time during a trial! Whenever
you chose, evaluators
emulate the reactions of jurors during a trial by entering their judgments
as probabilities. Specifically, at
any stage of the trial, FactLogic determines the probabilities for each
fact, it determines the probability that each cause of action is true, and
it predicts the verdict for each cause of action.
1. How the
Shadow Jury Works
Members
of the shadow jury can observe the trial from the courtroom or remotely, if
possible.
Members use FactLogic to periodically enter their judgments as probabilities for each fact. FactLogic reports the probabilities for each fact,
the probability each cause of action is true, and the predicted verdict
for each cause of action.
You can view these probabilities at any time and compared them to the standard of proof. See Figure 1.
2.
Implement the Shadow Jury
You can implement a shadow jury on this Web site in the following
way:
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Create the Case.
Create your case by entering some case information, some facts, and
assertions.
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Copy the
Case. Create a copy of the case for each event or milestone after which you wish
to obtain fresh judgments (i.e., click, Copy Case). (In this way,
the newly entered probabilities are neither mingled nor accumulated.)
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Select
Members. Randomly select members from a population of persons whose judgments are thought
to emulate those of jurors (e.g., the venire). The size of the shadow
jury should be as large as possible, and they should not communicate.
-
Members Observe the Trial.
The shadow jury can observe the trial from the courtroom, a television
monitor, or a computer monitor and camcorder connected to the Internet.
Members
enter probabilities that reflect their judgments about each fact.
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Analyze
the Case. From your computer, you can analyze any and all
probabilities and important statistics of them. Specifically, you
can spot weak or strong facts, weak or strong assertions, and see the
probability that any and all assertions will result in a verdict for the
plaintiff.
Figure 1. Graph of probability verdict is for the plaintiff as it changes at
specified times (as
determined from the probabilities entered by the shadow jury).
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